Tuesday, September 11, 2007

MN Sen - Norm!

Meanwhile, in the Land of 10,000 Lakes, Norm Coleman is treading water with under-50 percent support and Al Franken closing fast.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone poll of the race shows incumbent Senator Norm Coleman (R) attracting just 46% support from voters and holding very modest leads over two Democrats seeking his job.

Coleman, a freshman Senator, leads comedian Al Franken (D) 46% to 41%. Coleman’s level of support is unchanged from our previous poll, conducted in March. In that earlier poll, Coleman led Franken 46% to 36%.

The current poll also finds Coleman leading Minneapolis attorney Mike Ciresi 46% to 42%. Ciresi has never held office before, but narrowly missed winning the party nomination for the U.S. Senate in Election 2000.

The demographic breakdowns are very similar regardless of which Democrat is mentioned in the poll. This suggests that attitudes towards Coleman remain the defining characteristic of the race. Incumbents who poll below the 50% level early in a campaign are generally considered vulnerable and Coleman definitely falls into that category.